Predicting when “Venom: The Last Dance” (which seems to have retconned the final scene of “Spider-Man: No Way Home”) will be available on a streaming service is somewhat complicated for several reasons.

First, the release dates for streaming are heavily influenced by a movie’s box office performance. Generally, if a film is doing well at the box office and has respectable digital purchase numbers, it will take longer for it to be made available on a streaming platform.

As of now, it’s too soon to fully assess the box office performance of “The Last Dance”, but its initial week of earnings has not been very strong.

Below are the theatrical-to-streaming release windows for several recent Sony Pictures films. The last three movies listed—”Bad Boys: Ride or Die”, “Fly Me to the Moon”, and “It Ends With Us”—are not included, as they have not yet started streaming:

• Anyone But You:
  • Theatrical: December 22, 2023
  • Netflix: April 23, 2024 (123 days later)
• Madame Web:
  • Theatrical: February 14, 2024
  • Netflix: May 14, 2024 (90 days later)
• Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire:
  • Theatrical: March 22, 2024
  • Netflix: July 22, 2024 (76 days later)

It’s important to mention the streaming rights deal that Sony has with Netflix and Disney, which outlines how long a new release will be available on one streaming service before moving to another.

“Bad Boys: Ride or Die” is included in this agreement. The deal stipulates that once “Bad Boys” is added to a streaming service, it will be exclusively available on Netflix for 18 months, a period known as the “pay 1 window.”

After the 18 months are over, the “pay 2 window” begins, allowing Disney to stream “Bad Boys” on Disney+ and/or Hulu.

Similarly, “Venom: The Last Dance,” which received its own special popcorn bucket, is also part of this deal. Fans will have the chance to watch this movie exclusively on Netflix for the first 18 months after it begins streaming. Following that period, Disney can add it to its offerings on Disney+ and/or Hulu.

Due to the underwhelming box-office performance of “The Last Dance”, its theatrical-to-streaming release window is likely to be shorter, possibly between 70 to 90 days. If this occurs, the movie could be available on Netflix as early as mid-January 2025 or by early February at the latest.

If that timeline is accurate, the 18-month exclusive period for streaming on Netflix would conclude around the summer of 2026. After that, “Venom: The Last Dance” is expected to be available for streaming on Disney+ and/or Hulu. Currently, *Venom: The Last Dance* is playing in theaters.